← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5458406
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 22.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.
Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 26.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (38.5%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d-65.50pt
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,900
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $30
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.20
RSI (14, hourly)22.9
Realized vol 7d4.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 4h.
Time to resolve12d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.