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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 559651

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4.7% implied · bid 4.6¢ · ask 4.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.6%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.6%
Bid / ask / mid4.6¢ / 4.8¢ / 4.7¢
Spread0.2¢ (4.3%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d+0.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 67/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,438
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$32,308 / $4,198
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score67.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.33
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth