← Explore · Polymarket · Market 559653
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19.8% implied · bid 19.7¢ · ask 19.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.9%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability19.9%
Bid / ask / mid19.7¢ / 19.9¢ / 19.8¢
Spread0.2¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d-0.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,709
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,655 / $33,891
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score70.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.40
RSI (14, hourly)36.4
Realized vol 7d0.33pt
Change 1h-0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%