← Explore · Polymarket · Market 559658
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8.0% implied · bid 7.9¢ · ask 8.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.2%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability8.2%
Bid / ask / mid7.9¢ / 8.1¢ / 8.0¢
Spread0.2¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d-0.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,872
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27,403 / $13,625
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score69.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 86 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.28
RSI (14, hourly)85.7
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%