← Explore · Polymarket · Market 559661
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15.6% implied · bid 15.5¢ · ask 15.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.7%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability15.7%
Bid / ask / mid15.5¢ / 15.7¢ / 15.6¢
Spread0.2¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 69/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,209
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27,637 / $13,304
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score69.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.47
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%