← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5600711
UAE Tri-Nations ODIs: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.8%, up 29.4pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability99.8%
Bid / ask / mid99.8¢ / 100.0¢ / 99.9¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+29.40pt
Change 7d+49.90pt
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$164,634
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,433 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score51.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.84
RSI (14, hourly)87.9
Realized vol 7d2.44pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 5h.
Time to resolve6d 5h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.