Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 560317

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 78/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 20% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$70,727
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39,767 / $25,616
Imbalance20% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score77.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.43
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth