← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5611739
Will Solana reach $110 in October?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 62.0%, up 6.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability62.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 62.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+6.50pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$71
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,313 / $1,558
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.11
RSI (14, hourly)43.1
Realized vol 7d6.12pt
Change 1h+1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 12d 4h.
Time to resolve12d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.