← Explore · Polymarket · Market 561234
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10.3% implied · bid 10.2¢ · ask 10.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability10.2%
Bid / ask / mid10.2¢ / 10.3¢ / 10.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 77/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$788
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$43,508 / $11,903
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score77.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%