← Explore · Polymarket · Market 561238
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$130,509
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11 / $5,604
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.94
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%