← Explore · Polymarket · Market 561261
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11.5% implied · bid 11.4¢ · ask 11.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 11.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability11.4%
Bid / ask / mid11.4¢ / 11.5¢ / 11.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,335
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20,526 / $16,266
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score67.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%