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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 561261

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

11.5% implied · bid 11.4¢ · ask 11.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability11.4%
Bid / ask / mid11.4¢ / 11.5¢ / 11.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 68/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,335
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20,526 / $16,266
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score67.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 794d 7h.

Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth