← Explore · Polymarket · Market 561975
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
18.9% implied · bid 18.9¢ · ask 19.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.9%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability18.9%
Bid / ask / mid18.9¢ / 19.0¢ / 18.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+1.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 70/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,813
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21,417 / $20,123
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score70.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 83 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.21
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 794d 7h.
Time to resolve794d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%