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Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

3.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 3.1¢

The market prices this at 2.9%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.9%

Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 3.1¢ / 3.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (3.3%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+0.35pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,650

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26,365 / $2,745

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score64.1 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.64

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 794d 7h.

Time to resolve794d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%