← Explore · Polymarket · Market 562794

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

49.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

The market prices this at 50.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability50.0%

Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 49.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-1.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 64/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,057

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,448 / $21,035

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score63.7 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.45

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 59d 6h.

Time to resolve59d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%