← Explore · Polymarket · Market 562802
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
88.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 89.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 89.0¢ / 88.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$23,292
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$415,726 / $2,526,380
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.84
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 59d 7h.
Time to resolve59d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%