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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 562803

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,313
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,114 / $69,774
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score83.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.27
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 59d 7h.

Time to resolve59d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth