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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 562830

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

35.5% implied · bid 35.0¢ · ask 36.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 36.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability36.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 36.0¢ / 35.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 93/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,968
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$81,777 / $13,735
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score92.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.76
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 59d 7h.

Time to resolve59d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth