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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 562831

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

11.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.7%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$23,488
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,956 / $24,860
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score59.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.81
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 59d 7h.

Time to resolve59d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth