← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5653844
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 20?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.1%, down 14.9pt over 24h, on a 9.6¢ spread.
Implied probability6.1%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 10.7¢ / 5.9¢
Spread9.6¢ (162.7%)
Change 24h-14.95pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 2/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$216
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $25
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score2.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 48 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.21
RSI (14, hourly)48.1
Realized vol 7d15.22pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 16h.
Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.