← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5653847
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 20?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 91.0%, up 19.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 93.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (5.3%)
Change 24h+19.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 26/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 92% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$6,485
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$827 / $982
Imbalance92% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 62 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.22
RSI (14, hourly)62.0
Realized vol 7d8.73pt
Change 1h+2.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 16h.
Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.