← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5653851
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 20?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.4%, down 4.3pt over 24h, on a 3.3¢ spread.
Implied probability5.4%
Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 5.4¢ / 3.8¢
Spread3.3¢ (88.0%)
Change 24h-4.25pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$19
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $60
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score33.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)36.8
Realized vol 7d16.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 16h.
Time to resolve0d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.