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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5660062

Fram Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes: O/U 0.5

50.0% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.4%, up 2.4pt over 24h, on a 100.0¢ spread.

Implied probability98.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 50.0¢
Spread100.0¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+2.40pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$60
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.96
RSI (14, hourly)93.0
Realized vol 7d3.78pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.