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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5660063

Fram Reykjavik vs. IA Akranes: O/U 1.5

93.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 93.0%, up 9.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+9.45pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$108
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.50
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d6.15pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.