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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5676045

Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5

58.5% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 59.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 59.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability59.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 59.0¢ / 58.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$26
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,199 / $4,254
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d2.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 19h.

Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.