← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5689991
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 99.1%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability99.1%
Bid / ask / mid99.0¢ / 99.4¢ / 99.2¢
Spread0.4¢ (0.4%)
Change 24h+1.10pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 98% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$208
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,756 / $671
Imbalance98% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.34
RSI (14, hourly)47.1
Realized vol 7d5.64pt
Change 1h+0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1d 16h.
Time to resolve1d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.