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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5701717

Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Goiás EC O/U 0.5

52.5% implied · bid 49.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 52.5%, up 2.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability52.5%
Bid / ask / mid49.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 52.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h+2.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,068 / $13
Imbalance62% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34
RSI (14, hourly)13.3
Realized vol 7d6.90pt
Change 1h-32.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.