← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5701729
Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Clube Náutico Capibaribe O/U 0.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 37.0%, down 31.5pt over 24h, on a 47.0¢ spread.
Implied probability37.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread47.0¢ (93.1%)
Change 24h-31.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 99% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$80
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance99% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-6.04
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d5.30pt
Change 1h-32.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.