← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5723143
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 61.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$226 / $796
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.49
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d3.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 2h.
Time to resolve2d 2h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (0)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.