← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5739556
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 22?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.9%, up 4.4pt over 24h, on a 1.6¢ spread.
Implied probability96.9%
Bid / ask / mid97.1¢ / 98.7¢ / 97.9¢
Spread1.6¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+4.40pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$3,406
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,021 / $22,651
Imbalance56% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score57.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.94
RSI (14, hourly)52.6
Realized vol 7d0.89pt
Change 1h+0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2d 16h.
Time to resolve2d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.