← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5776822
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.4%, up 4.2pt over 24h, on a 3.5¢ spread.
Implied probability96.4%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 96.5¢ / 94.8¢
Spread3.5¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h+4.20pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,887
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,111 / $27,338
Imbalance47% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)40.9
Realized vol 7d7.75pt
Change 1h-0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 16h.
Time to resolve3d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.