← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5776868
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on October 23?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 98.6%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.
Implied probability98.6%
Bid / ask / mid97.4¢ / 99.8¢ / 98.6¢
Spread2.4¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 89% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,035 / $1,113
Imbalance89% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.24
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.53pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 16h.
Time to resolve3d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.