← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5776869
Will the price of Solana be above $85 on October 23?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.8%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 3.8¢ spread.
Implied probability97.8%
Bid / ask / mid95.9¢ / 99.7¢ / 97.8¢
Spread3.8¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h+0.40pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 96% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,777 / $1,123
Imbalance96% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score34.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.16
RSI (14, hourly)52.3
Realized vol 7d5.82pt
Change 1h+0.45pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 16h.
Time to resolve3d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.