← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5776871
Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 23?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.1%)
Change 24h+5.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 76% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,640
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,777 / $7,747
Imbalance76% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.01
RSI (14, hourly)52.2
Realized vol 7d4.76pt
Change 1h+2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3d 16h.
Time to resolve3d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.