← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5785091
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 60.0¢ / 56.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (14.3%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$88
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$75 / $12
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.14
RSI (14, hourly)45.0
Realized vol 7d4.25pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 59d 0h.
Time to resolve59d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.