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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5798018

Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5

53.5% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.5%, up 17.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.5%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 53.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h+17.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$81 / $96
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.86
RSI (14, hourly)48.0
Realized vol 7d4.92pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 19h.

Time to resolve0d 19h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (25)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.