← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5801197
Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 92.0%, up 31.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 93.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+31.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$384,810
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,096 / $35,123
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)28
Liquidity score59.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.46
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d6.18pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 1h.
Time to resolve6d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.