← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5802665
Game Spread: Katie Boulter (-3.5) vs Himeno Sakatsume (+3.5)
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.0%, up 27.5pt over 24h, on a 50.0¢ spread.
Implied probability48.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 75.0¢
Spread50.0¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h+27.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-9% historically (35-50¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$231
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance100% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.61
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d3.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 1h.
Time to resolve6d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 35-50¢ bucket has returned -9% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.