← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5822951
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 96.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability96.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+4% historically (90-99¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,178
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,983 / $6,267
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 45 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.43
RSI (14, hourly)45.5
Realized vol 7d1.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 16h.
Time to resolve4d 16h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 90-99¢ bucket has returned +4% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.