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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5858209

Jenson Brooksby vs. Mitchell Krueger: Total Sets O/U 2.5

0.0% implied · bid 99.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.0%, up 75.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability0.0%
Bid / ask / mid99.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 0.0¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+75.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 88 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.22
RSI (14, hourly)87.6
Realized vol 7d13.65pt
Change 1h+35.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 15h.

Time to resolve6d 15h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.