← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5877792
Real Cartagena FC vs. Boyaca Patriotas: O/U 1.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 86.0%, up 11.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability86.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+11.50pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+7% historically (80-90¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 49% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$75
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,013 / $3,193
Imbalance49% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.23
RSI (14, hourly)78.4
Realized vol 7d5.99pt
Change 1h+7.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 80-90¢ bucket has returned +7% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.