← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5877793
Real Cartagena FC vs. Boyaca Patriotas: O/U 2.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 49.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.2%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax-24% historically (20-35¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,138
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$896 / $1,123
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-5.44
RSI (14, hourly)56.1
Realized vol 7d1.98pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (50)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 20-35¢ bucket has returned -24% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.