← Explore · Polymarket · Market 5911564
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 54.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$181,770
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144,517 / $135,294
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score95.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.09
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.66pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules riskmedium (30)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.