← Explore · Polymarket · Market 601825
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.8% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 1.8¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.8%
Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 1.8¢ / 1.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.80pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$105,746
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,188 / $8,543
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score55.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 22 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01
RSI (14, hourly)22.2
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 7h.
Time to resolve29d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%