← Explore · Polymarket · Market 601836
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.9% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.2%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability2.2%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (5.1%)
Change 24h+0.60pt
Change 7d-1.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$411,257
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,834 / $8,258
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score54.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.03
RSI (14, hourly)70.6
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.70pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 7h.
Time to resolve29d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%