← Explore · Polymarket · Market 601922

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

98.0% implied · bid 97.9¢ · ask 98.0¢

The market prices this at 97.4%, down 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability97.4%

Bid / ask / mid97.9¢ / 98.0¢ / 98.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d+0.60pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 47% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30,541 / $79,379

Imbalance47% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.25

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h-0.10pt

Resolves in 29d 7h.

Time to resolve29d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%