← Explore · Polymarket · Market 608545

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

13.8% implied · bid 13.6¢ · ask 14.0¢

The market prices this at 13.6%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability13.6%

Bid / ask / mid13.6¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.8¢

Spread0.4¢ (2.9%)

Change 24h-1.15pt

Change 7d-1.55pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14,422

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,018 / $2,929

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score51.5 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.63

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 56d 7h.

Time to resolve56d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%