← Explore · Polymarket · Market 608547

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

67.0% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 67.1¢

The market prices this at 67.0%, up 1.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability67.0%

Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 67.1¢ / 67.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+1.85pt

Change 7d+1.35pt

Deep and tight (score 87/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$36,058

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$61,566 / $13,280

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score86.9 / 100

RSI 78 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.61

RSI (14, hourly)77.8

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 56d 7h.

Time to resolve56d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%