← Explore · Polymarket · Market 608566
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$12,397
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,537 / $7,766
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.63
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 56d 7h.
Time to resolve56d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%