← Explore · Polymarket · Market 616902

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

92.8% implied · bid 92.8¢ · ask 92.9¢

The market prices this at 92.8%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability92.8%

Bid / ask / mid92.8¢ / 92.9¢ / 92.8¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+4.00pt

Change 7d+4.60pt

Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$224,792

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$201,238 / $47,690

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score99.5 / 100

RSI 74 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean4.28

RSI (14, hourly)73.6

Realized vol 7d0.39pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%