← Explore · Polymarket · Market 616904

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

2.3% implied · bid 2.1¢ · ask 2.5¢

The market prices this at 2.5%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability2.5%

Bid / ask / mid2.1¢ / 2.5¢ / 2.3¢

Spread0.4¢ (17.4%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$65,727

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,274 / $2,350

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.8 / 100

RSI 44 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.48

RSI (14, hourly)44.2

Realized vol 7d0.14pt

Change 1h+0.60pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%